Distress Radar · Danger Clock

The Danger Clock — your risk warning system.

It tracks structural distress signals in corporate filings to flag escalating risk — giving you time to prepare before a company's next capital event.

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DISTRESS RADAR
TLRY Tilray Brands
100
HIGH RISK
Structural distress detected across multiple signals.
Listing deficiency Mar 2025
Shareholder dilution active
Reverse split Dec 2025
The Danger Clock

Where a company sits in the danger window.

The Danger Clock identifies when corporate filings and structural data indicate rising operational or financial stress — and places a company in the 7-to-11 month window where names with this footprint have historically resolved into dilution, a reverse split, or a delisting more often than they recovered. It’s a risk-timing read, not a price-prediction tool: it helps you avoid being blindsided — it’s for those who hold with conviction, not paper hands.
IMMINENT
Indicators suggest critical risk — active disruption may occur in the near term.
NEAR-TERM
Modeled signals suggest elevated stress — monitor for potential knock-on effects in the coming months.
WATCH
Emerging signals of risk — assess exposures and prepare for downside scenarios.

The blind spot most screens miss.

Some of the riskiest names look calm on the surface — quiet on filing activity, but quietly burning cash and sitting close to a capital event. That’s the blind spot a disclosure-only screen misses, and exactly what the Danger Clock is built to surface — so you’re not the one holding when it breaks.

This signal is for informational purposes only, does not constitute investment advice, and is derived from modeled data based on public filings. Historical performance is not indicative of future results.

6,700+ tickers monitored
30 years of SEC filings
Re-scored as new filings post
Sourced from SEC EDGAR
A live ticker page · free to explore

This is what holding the wrong stock looks like.

Every ticker gets its own page: a distress score, the structural events marked on the timeline, and the chart no one shows you — the real value, adjusted for every reverse split.
baselinewatch.com/ticker/FFAI
FFAI Faraday Future
100DISTRESS · HIGH
Split-adjusted value, Jul 2021 → today  ·  −99.99%  ($115,968 → $0.25 per share)
$100K$1K$10$1$0.25AUG 2023RS 80:1MAR 2024RS 3:1AUG 2024RS 40:1JAN 2026Dilution202120222023202420252026Share value (split-adjusted)Reverse splitDilution offering
Listing deficiencyHeavy dilutionCredit stress3 reverse splits
REAL SPLIT-ADJUSTED DATA · SAMPLE TICKER PAGE

Historical illustration of our model against past public filings. Past performance and back-tested results are not guarantees of future outcomes and do not constitute investment advice.

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Proof

A historical read: Tilray, 8 months early.

Historical analysis shows our model flagging Tilray's March 2025 listing deficiency — both matters of public record — eight months before the company's December 2025 1-for-10 reverse split. The stock was volatile in between; the structural distress never resolved.

Past performance and back-tested results are not guarantees of future outcomes and do not constitute investment advice.

MAR 2025
🚩 Distress flagged
Listing deficiency + dilution + credit stress
~8 months
DEC 2025
⚠ 1-for-10 reverse split
The structural event we warned about
Your dashboard

Your whole watchlist, scored at a glance.

Every holding rated and re-scored as new filings hit. The risky names rise to the top; the rest stay quiet.
baselinewatch.com/dashboard

My watchlist

6 holdings · 2 flagged · scanned today
HoldingRiskSignal
AAPLApple✓ ClearNo distress markers
MSFTMicrosoft✓ ClearNo distress markers
NVDANvidia✓ ClearNo distress markers
TELOTelomir● Watch · 65Listing deficiency · dilution rising
FFAIFaraday Future● High · 100Heavy dilution · multiple reverse splits
TLRYTilray● High · 100Listing deficiency · reverse split
SAMPLE WATCHLIST VIEW
How it works

Quiet monitoring. Loud when it matters.

01

Add your tickers

Build a watchlist of the stocks you own or follow. Free covers three; paid plans open the full universe.

02

Get a distress score

Each name is scored against its SEC filings for the markers that precede dilution, reverse splits, and delisting.

03

Get warned early

When a holding's risk changes, you get a clear, jargon-free alert before the situation is obvious to everyone else.

Distress Radar is a research tool, not a trading system. Use its flags to focus your due diligence — not to make final investment decisions.
Pricing

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FAQ

Questions, answered.

Is this investment advice?
No. Distress Radar is a data and risk-monitoring tool, not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. It gives you an early warning so you can do your own research and decide for yourself.
What exactly does it warn me about?
Three structural risks that frequently cause permanent loss for shareholders: shareholder dilution, reverse stock splits, and delisting from a major exchange.
How early is the warning?
In back-testing, distress indicators have typically appeared months — often in a 7-to-11-month window — ahead of the event. This reflects historical analysis and is not a guarantee of future timing.
What is a "distress score"?
A 0–100 rating of how much structural risk a company is showing in its filings. Higher means more warning signs are stacking up. We show you the score and the specific signals behind it — deficiency notices, dilution, credit stress — in plain language.
Which stocks does it cover?
Over 6,700 US-listed companies, with new names added automatically as they file. If a stock files with the SEC, we can score it.
Where does the data come from?
Entirely from official company filings in the SEC's EDGAR database. We do not use news, social media, or stock-price momentum — only what companies disclose.
Do you connect to my brokerage?
No. Distress Radar is watchlist-based — you add the tickers you own or follow. We never link to your brokerage, never see your positions, and never touch your money.
Can I cancel anytime? What happens after the trial?
Yes — cancel in one click from your account. On paid trials we email you 3 days before the 14-day trial ends; you are not billed if you cancel before it is over.
Is my data secure?
Yes. Your data is encrypted in transit (TLS) and at rest (AES-256) on Google Cloud, sign-in uses two-factor authentication, and payments run through Stripe (PCI DSS Level 1) — we never see or store card details.
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