Forward Test

Signal Track Record

Disclosure risk methodology validated across 24,209 filings from 4,745 tickers spanning 30+ years of SEC data.

Forward Test — Live Since January

--
Signals Logged
--
60-Day Hit Rate
--
Avg 60-Day Return
--
Total Signals
--
60-Day Accuracy
--
Resolved
--
Pending

Loading track record...

Methodology

BaselineWatch monitors SEC filings for material language changes. When a significant signal is detected:

Past performance does not guarantee future results. This track record is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

SIGNALS IN THE WILD

Live reads, real outcomes

Recent examples from the live scoring feed: the band our system published at filing time, and what the stock did afterward. Shown exactly as scored — hits and all-clears alike.

FLAGGED · CRITICAL (70)
NVDA
10-Q scored May 20, 2026
−7.2%
since filing, through Jul 21
ALL-CLEAR · BASELINE (17)
AAPL
10-Q scored May 1, 2026
+17.0%
since filing, through Jul 21
ALL-CLEAR · BASELINE (9)
INTC
10-Q scored Apr 24, 2026
+27.8%
since filing, through Jul 21

Illustrative examples from BaselineWatch's live scoring feed, selected to show both flags and all-clears. Bands shown as published at filing time; performance measured from the first market close on or after the filing date through Jul 21, 2026, using closing prices. Not investment advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.